23-24

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Mar 10, 2024

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Yesterday morning near Cooke City a snowmobiler triggered a very large avalanche on Sheep Mtn. and was partially buried (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31377"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). In the afternoon a large natural avalanche was witnessed running on the north side of Republic Mtn. above town (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31404"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). Both of these broke many feet deep on buried persistent weak layers, and the larger one on Sheep was 500' wide.&nbsp;</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Similar very large avalanches have been triggered or run naturally every day since Wednesday when our last round of snowfall ended. Thursday on Henderson Mountain a snowmobiler triggered a slide that broke over 2000 ft wide, 6-10’ deep and 12-15’ at the deepest (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7F4hYSm-iEY"><span><span><span><strong>… video</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). On Friday two more very large slides were likely triggered by snowmobilers on different sides of Scotch Bonnet Mountain (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31345"><span><span><span><strong><span…;, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31357"><span><span><span><strong><span…;, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9kyGpQxAs2A"><span><span><span><strong>… Bonnet video</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). There were recent natural avalanches on Scotch Bonnet (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31358"><span><span><span><strong><span…;), and in Yellowstone National Park on Barronette (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/24/natural-slab-barronette"><span><s…;) and Abiathar</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span> </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>(</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/24/cooke-city-avalanche-8"><span><sp…;). These are only a selection among maybe the most widespread large avalanche activity I have ever seen (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><span><span><span><stro… log</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>).</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Dangerous avalanche conditions exist and large human triggered avalanches are likely. Avoid riding on slopes steeper than 30 degrees and give them plenty of space if you pass beneath them. The avalanche danger is rated CONSIDERABLE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>The likelihood of triggering large, dangerous avalanches has decreased since our last round of snow, but the consequences of being caught in a slide remain high. A person can trigger slabs of wind-drifted snow or slides many feet deep on old buried weak layers. In Beehive Basin near Big Sky, on Friday skiers dropped a cornice on a slope that triggered an avalanche up to 6’ deep, 500’ wide and took out their skin track (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31343"><span><span><span><strong><span… and photos</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>), and yesterday a natural avalanche broke from a cornice fall (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31383"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). On Friday in the Bridger Range on Saddle Peak skiers triggered avalanches of wind-drifted snow that were 1-2 feet deep, and one was up to 200 feet wide (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31330"><span><span><span><strong><span… and photos</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). Although these avalanches were smaller than the slides in Beehive they also have large consequences, especially if they carry you over cliffs like those on Saddle Peak. Luckily nobody was caught in any of these recent slides.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Above freezing temperatures today could cause the snow surface to become wet and make wet loose avalanches and cornice falls possible. Yesterday skiers in the northern Bridger Range saw wet loose slides on sunny slopes</span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span> </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>(</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31370"><span><span><span><strong><span…;, </span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/31367"><span><span><span><strong><span…;). These could trigger larger avalanches that break below recent wind-drifted snow or deeper on old persistent weak layers.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>If you consider riding or crossing below steep slopes, choose simple, low-consequence terrain and slopes without previous wind-loading. Carefully assess terrain above you and the potential for conditions to change as the snow surface warms and gets wet through the day. The avalanche danger is rated MODERATE.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.

March 9 Round Lake/ East Side Sheep Mountain Avalanche

Date

We saw the slide happen.   Maybe 200 yards wide 4 to 10 ft deep crown.  Triggered by a guy riding along in the run out zone, he was partially buried and got himself out. One of the kids has some photos in this phone, we will try to send them shortly.

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Sheep Mountain
Observer Name
Kevin Paul Syvrud

Natural on Republic

Republic Mountain
Cooke City
Code
HS-N-R4-D3-O
Elevation
8500
Aspect
N
Latitude
45.00030
Longitude
-109.95400
Notes

A natural avalanche was witnessed on the north side of Republic Mtn. on 3/9 at 4:54pm. It appeared to break around 3 feet deep.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Hard slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
4
D size
3
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Natural on Republic - 9 Mar

Date

A natural avalanche was witnessed on the north side of Republic Mtn. on 3/9 at 4:54pm. It appeared to break around 3 feet deep.

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Republic Mountain