18-19

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Jan 22, 2019

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The southern ranges received a large load of snow over past week (1.5”-1.7” of <a href="https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/detail/or/snow/?cid=nrcs142p2… water equivalent</a>), falling on a very weak foundation . You can trigger slides breaking deep in the snowpack (2-3’ deep), on weak snow near the ground. The 1.5’ of loose, sugary snow at the ground developed during the cold temperatures in early December, and is now capped by a cohesive slab (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Y_F3uaJKvI&amp;t=0s&amp;list=PLXu5151n…;). This dangerous combination is a widespread. Avalanches on these weak layers may propagate hundreds of feet wide and can be triggered from flatter terrain beneath steep slopes. Skiers on Sunday reported large collapses on low angle terrain (<a href="details">details</a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/19764">details</a&gt;). Cautious route-finding is essential, as you can’t count on getting these warning signs before triggering a slide. The best way to avoid triggering an avalanche is to stay off of and out from underneath steep slopes, including small terrain traps such as creek beds, gullies and road cuts. Winds will pick up today, thickening slabs and making conditions touchier on wind loaded slopes. Human triggered avalanche are likely and the avalanche danger is <strong>CONSIDERABLE</strong>.</p>

<p>Avalanches breaking within the new snow are the primary concern in the northern ranges. Since Friday, snow totals range from 14” - 25” (1.1”-2.6” of SWE). The most dangerous slopes are those with cohesive slabs of new snow that have not bonded well to the old snow surface. You will find the thickest and most dangerous slabs in the areas with the highest snowfall totals and on slopes loaded by north and west winds. Yesterday, skiers in the northern Gallatin Range remotely triggered a slide from 200’ away (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/19777">details</a&gt;), ice climbers triggered a slide in Hyalite (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/dribbles-avalanche">photo</a&gt;), and natural wind slab avalanches broke on Mt. Republic, near Cooke City (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/mt-republic-crowns-1">photo</a&gt;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/mt-republic-crowns-2">photo</a&gt;). Numerous other avalanches have been triggered since snowfall began on Friday, including natural and skier triggered slides on Saddle Peak (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/19753">details</a&gt;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/19759">details</a&gt;) and a skier buried to his waist in an avalanche near Fairy Lake (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/19732">details</a&gt;, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P41wyU5SPYU">video</a>).</p&gt;

<p>Yesterday, near Cooke City, Doug found that while the new snow has&nbsp;generally bonded&nbsp;well on non-wind loaded slopes, there are some slopes where it has not (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0A9IRqRNaCE">video</a&gt;). Quickly check how the new snow has bonded to the old snow surface before getting into any steep terrain. While not widespread, on slopes with a shallower snowpack there is also the potential to trigger slides on deeper weak layers.</p>

<p>Steer clear of steep, wind loaded slopes where you are most likely to trigger an avalanche. The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on wind loaded slopes and MODERATE on other slopes.</p>

Skier killed in avalanche in Colorado

Yesterday, a backcountry skier was buried and killed in an avalanche near Aspen, Colorado. Preliminary information from the Colorado Avalanche Information Center is HERE.

Remotely triggered avalanche on Wheeler Mountain

Wheeler Mountain
Northern Gallatin
Code
SS-ASr-D2
Latitude
45.51290
Longitude
-111.07700
Notes

From email: "As we entered the large open meadows on the east face ... we remotely triggered a sizable avalanche from 2-300 yards away. The crown was approximately 100 yards wide, running several hundred yards downhill ... the crown appeared to be about 2 feet deep."

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Trigger Modifier
r-A remote avalanche released by the indicated trigger
D size
2
Slab Thickness
24.0 inches
Slab Width
300.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Natural avalanches on Mt. Republic

Mt Republic
Cooke City
Code
SS-N-R2-D2-I
Aspect
N
Notes

Natural avalanches in the new snow, near Cooke City, on January 21st.

From email: "avalanche crowns on the shoulder of Mt. Republic from this morning.  (saw the powder cloud at about 8:30am).  I estimate the upper crown to be 1-3' deep and about 100' wide.  Northerly facing terrain."

Photo Credit: B. Fredlund

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
2
D size
2
Bed Surface
I - Interface between new and old snow
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness
18.0 inches
Slab Width
100.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Natural avalanches seen January 21st.

From email: "avalanche crowns on the shoulder of Mt. Republic from this morning.  (saw the powder cloud at about 8:30am).  I estimate the upper crown to be 1-3' deep and about 100' wide.  Northerly facing terrain."

Photo Credit: B. Fredlund

Cooke City, 2019-01-21

Natural avalanches seen January 21st.

From email: "avalanche crowns on the shoulder of Mt. Republic from this morning.  (saw the powder cloud at about 8:30am).  I estimate the upper crown to be 1-3' deep and about 100' wide.  Northerly facing terrain."

Photo Credit: B. Fredlund

Cooke City, 2019-01-21

Ice climber triggered slide in Hyalite

Hyalite - main fork
Northern Gallatin
Code
SS-AFu-D1-I
Notes

Small avalanche 70m up "The Dribbles" ice climbing route in Hyalite.

From email: "Some super heavy wind loading as the slope flattened out.... as he set up the anchor 70m up the climb a small slab came off just to his left." 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Foot penetration
Trigger Modifier
u-An unintentional release
D size
1
Bed Surface
I - Interface between new and old snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year