22-23

Poor structure, no propagation, Widespread SH

Date
Activity
Skiing

Dug at 9000’ E aspect, HS 110cm ECTN7 down 35cm on .5-1mm facets. 1-2mm F basal facets in bottom 30cm. 2-4 mm SH throughout zone. 

Region
Southern Madison
Location (from list)
Bacon Rind
Observer Name
Stephen G.

Garner Canyon

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

Drifting snow on ridges at 7,850 ft E aspect.

Obvious Rime on trees 7,850 ft.

Distinct PWL cohesive with previous obs.

 

 

Region
Island Park
Location (from list)
Two Top
Observer Name
Cheyenne Rasmussen

Surface Hoar in the Absarokas

Date
Activity
Skiing

1-2cm surface hoar encountered near 8000’on NW through NE aspects in the Mill Creek region of the Absarokas outside Livingston.

Region
Out of Advisory Area
Location (from list)
Knowles Peak
Observer Name
Tim Benson

Lick Creek

Date
Activity
Skiing

On both aspects, the wind / sun crust buried under the last little storm is supportable but not adhering well to that storm (some little slabs had come off people's turns about 2/3 the way down the back side) and there was ~ 1/4" surface hoar formed in the sunny spots of both aspects already at about noon today.

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Lick Creek

Storm Slab near Mt. Zimmer Yurt

Date
Activity
Snowboarding

Skiing from Mt. Zimmer Yurt on 12/30 and 12/31, we found two weak layers of small near-surface facets within the new snow at around 30cm and 40cm deep. The layers appeared to be rounding and healing but were somewhat reactive. In our snowpit on an east facing slope at 9,400 feet we got ECTN results on these layers, but in a PST test, the 30cm deep layer collapsed at 30cm into the cut. This made us wary of skiing avalanche terrain and we avoided steep open slopes. We did ski some small isolated steep terrain features and occasionally had this storm slab break off underneath us, but it did not ever propagate beyond steep, convex features such as spines and pillows.

The attached photo shows a small snowboarder-triggered avalanche from 12/31 on a southeast facing slope at 9,000 feet that broke on the 30cm layer and stepped down to the 40cm layer. The intermittent sun on 12/31 seemed to be increasing the reactivity of the storm slab on sun-exposed slopes. The snowboarder was briefly caught in the sliding snow but maintained his footing as the snow washed past him.

Region
Cooke City
Location (from list)
Zimmer Creek
Observer Name
Jack Taylor

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Jan 2, 2023

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span>A person can trigger large to very large avalanches breaking on buried weak layers. The avalanche that killed a snowmobiler on Saturday near Cooke City broke 1.5-4 feet deep on a layer of sugary, faceted snow below a very hard slab (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zjGCqBikpRw&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvTi1DBS… of site investigation</a></strong>). Snow from the past week was drifted onto the slope to further stress the weak layer towards breaking. Also, a snowmobiler triggered slide on Sheep Mountain near Cooke City broke 1-4 feet deep (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tsr8x3PCG3s"><strong><span>video</span>…;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/27426"><strong><span>details</span></s…;), and another on Lionhead ridge near West Yellowstone broke 2-4 feet deep (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/27430"><strong><span>details</span></s…;). All these avalanches broke on buried persistent weak layers which means similar avalanches continue to be possible until the snowpack has an extended break from the stress of new and wind-drifted snow.</span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span>Avalanches of recently wind-drifted snow are also possible to trigger. These could be large enough to bury a person, and especially dangerous if they push you into hazards like trees, rocks, or over cliffs. Yesterday, skiers north of Bridger Bowl changed their plans after finding unstable snowpack test results below a slab of wind-drifted snow (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/27454">observation</a></strong&gt;), and there was a natural avalanche on Saddle Peak that involved recent wind-drifted snow (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/23/natural-slide-quarter-saddle">pho…;). Today’s east winds will form drifts in less common locations. </span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span>The snowpack depth is shallower in northern areas than further south, but the list of avalanche concerns and travel advice is the same. Carefully assess the snowpack on each steep slope you plan to ride or cross. Watch for signs of unstable drifts such as cracking across the snow surface and avoid steep slopes where you suspect buried weak layers exist. Slopes with a relatively shallower snowpack or where the snow depth varies greatly across a slope are the most suspect and first to be avoided, but you should dig and probe to look for buried weak layers before riding or crossing any steep slope. Today, buried weak layers and recently drifted snow make human-triggered avalanches possible and the avalanche danger is MODERATE.</span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span>Please share avalanche, snowpack or weather observations via our<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_obs"&gt; </a><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_obs"><strong><span>website</s…;, email (<strong>mtavalanche@gmail.com</strong>), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs). &nbsp;</span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span>Near Island Park a person can trigger large to very large avalanches that break on buried weak layers. Dave was riding in the Centennials yesterday and found these weak layers on some slopes, but not all which can make assessment tricky. See Dave's&nbsp;</span></span></span><strong><span><span><span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j54LPGBrmkg&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvTi1DBS…; for information on what he found and what to do about it. Either avoid steep slopes or dig to look for and assess buried weak layer before entering steep terrain.</span></span></span></p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.

Unstable test scores north of Bridger

Date
Activity
Skiing

Skiers north of Bridger on 1/1/23 reported: "... an unexpected ECTP turned us around. We stopped on dug on a north-facing slope just past the entrance to Wolverine. We got an ECTP 11 about a foot under the surface on what was either a thin layer of facets or just a density change under a hard wind slab. I didn't have a lens so it was hard to tell. Either way, it made us change plans and head back... We also saw a good-sized natural on Saddle between the top and the football field. It appeared to only involve fresh wind drifted snow."

Region
Bridger Range
Location (from list)
Wolverine Bowl