23-24
Instabilities and an Old Natural in Lionhead
Skiers on Monday, Dec. 18 felt collapsing in the Lionhead area. They also saw an old avalanche. It likely occurred at the tail end of last week's storm.
From obs: "Saw one small natural crown on a NE rocky outcropping around 8k, 1 foot deep and isolated. Felt a lot less collapsing than last weekend, however still found some instabilities. Notably a remote collapse that propagated around 50’ in length at around 8200’ on a NE aspect."
Older Avalanche and Still Reactive on Buck
Rode from Doe Creek along Buck Ridge to McAtee Basin and the heads of Muddy and Bear Creeks. Snow cover is very marginal on the road - bounced along on the rocks periodically overheating for the first several miles. Snow depth improves as you gain elevation. Snow depth on flat or shady slopes above 8500 ft is approximately 2 ft. Sunny slopes have less snow and more rocks showing.
Dug multiple quick pits and did two snowpit profiles, one in 2nd Yellowmule and one adjacent to an avalanche that looks to have broken last week along the divide between Muddy and Bear Creek. Found the same general snow structure as the rest of the advisory area - ~12" of weak faceted snow at the ground with a slab (~12") of early December snow on top. A mix of ECTN and ECTP results in the mid-teens across the two pits. Avalanche was approximately 100 ft wide and 25 ft tall, breaking on facets just above a crust near the ground. The slide was purposefully snowmobile triggered as a test slope on Sunday, 17 December. Slabs of snow were also breaking off as we climbed up next to the avalanche, showing conditions are still primed for a slide (see video).
The December snow is weakening and faceting including on sunny slopes where the Oct/Nov facets are more crusted. Surface hoar is big and widespread.
We dug 3 pits on or around the Ramp which is to the north of Bridger Bowl. One was SE facing, the other was E facing and our last was N facing. Depth ranged from 45 cm to 67 cm and all stability tests (6) had ECTN12-14. Photo: GNFAC
Dig and Assess, Bridger Range
I dug 3 pits on or around the Ramp which is to the north of Bridger Bowl. One was SE facing, the other was E facing and our last was N facing. Depth ranged from 45 cm to 67 cm and all stability tests (6) had ECTN12-14. We had no collapsing and saw no avalanche activity. The snow structure is poor: weak, sugary facets on an ice crust capped with a foot of snow. Although our observations are showing a trend toward stability, there are still slopes that will avalanche. These slopes would either have more snow or wind-loaded slabs above this layer; in essence, a meatier slab. The only way to know is to dig and test. And if you ski, watch out for rocks!
Wumphing in Lionhead
Went on a ski tour up Lionhead Ridge yesterday (12/18). Noted lots of sled tracks high-marking avalanche terrain on the east side of the ridge, but no major crowns. Saw one small natural crown on a NE rocky outcropping around 8k, 1 foot deep and isolated. Felt a lot less collapsing than last weekend, however still found some instabilities. Notably a remote collapse that propagated around 50’ in length at around 8200’ on a NE aspect.
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Dec 19, 2023
<p>Maintain a heightened suspicion for avalanches on slopes steeper than 30 degrees. Persistent weak layers of faceted snow are buried 1-2 feet deep below a slab created during last week’s storm. This poor snowpack structure is found across the advisory area, resulting in many avalanches and signs of instability long after snowfall ended one week ago.</p>
<p>Yesterday at the Throne in the Bridger Range, my partner and I had variable pit results and no signs of instability. Still, we maintained our conservative travel plan because we focused on <em>unstable </em>results and the recent snowpack history (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hN3auEiOfbU"><strong><span>video</span>…;). Last weekend, that history included a skier who remotely triggered an avalanche at Lionhead Ridge that broke downhill of him on a steep rollover (<a href="https://www.instagram.com/reel/C0-qL5ZrJcd/?id=3260228715764553501_2655…;). Alex and his partner triggered many whumphing collapses of the snowpack in Cooke City (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hugfAvGd09U&list=PLXu5151nmAvSH326z…;). Groups in Beehive Basin saw cracking around their skis, experienced collapses, and unstable test scores (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/29575"><strong><span>details</span></s…;). Two groups of skiers north of Bridger Bowl aborted their travel plans when they heard loud collapses and got unstable test results (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/29570"><strong><span>details1</span></…;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/29582"><strong><span>details2</span></…;). Follow our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/wx-avalanche-log"><strong><span>wea… and avalanche log</span></strong></a> or the <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><strong><span>avalanche activity page</span></strong></a> for documentation of all the recent action, including a particularly interesting slide in Big Sky triggered by a mountain goat. Evidence at the scene led the Big Sky Ski Patrol to believe that no goats were harmed in the making of this avalanche (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/29552"><strong><span>details</span></s…; </strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/23/natural-avalanches-closed-terrain…;).</p>
<p>Due to the persistent weak layers in the snowpack, human-triggered avalanches are possible. These slides may break 1-2+ feet deep and widely across slopes. Triggering avalanches remotely (from a distance) makes areas immediately underneath steep slopes suspect. Develop a travel plan that avoids avalanche terrain or evaluate the snowpack and allow signs of instability such as cracking, collapsing, recent avalanches, and unstable test scores to turn your group back toward lower-angle slopes. If considering avalanche terrain, err towards areas without the added consequences of terrain traps.</p>
<p>The avalanche danger is MODERATE.</p>
Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events
Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.
TODAY, December 18th, 6:00 pm, Free 1 hr Avalanche Awareness talk at REI, Bozeman.